Thursday, October 13, 2011

It's Final


Having talked to (almost) everyone in the league, I've decided it's best to shut down the league this year.

The reasoning is this: most people are upset that Eric would be childish and liquidate his team to another player, whatever his reasoning is.  It creates an imbalance that the rest of the league shouldn't have to deal with.

The logical thing would be to reverse the trade, which would require me to manually adjust rosters.  This would piss off other league members and cause even more "power abuse" nonsense.

My only other option is to kick out the members of the league causing all the problems (and also the inactive player), but then we would have 8 players, and I'd rather not try to replace people, it just takes too much time and effort.  Not to mention what to do with all the residual players.

I'm not sure if I'll do the league again next year, but I'll keep you all updated if I do.

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Since we won't have a playoff or a remaining season, I'll go ahead and hand out my awards here.

Most Improved and Best Sport - Lewis.  He was on track to be in the winners bracket for the first time, and took the game seriously.  He took my taunts for two years and didn't do much complaining, and came back ready to win.

Best Start - This goes to John.  He's the current leader, and deserves credit for picking some good players: namely, Wes Welker and Mike Tolbert.

Probable Winner - This one is hard, because I have to try and project based on future expectations.  I've decided that Colby would probably win, based on a solid draft, good pickups, and good trading.

Best Newcomer - This goes to Brandt.  He was willing to learn the game and try his best each week, and he was involved in the league.


And there we have it.  Y'all enjoy the (real) football season, and hopefully we'll give this another try next year.

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

Future of the League

I sent this through email but some email accounts in the league don't get checked so I'll just post it here.

This is getting ridiculous.



I love fantasy football and this league has been great but there has been way too much complaining.



The trade between Alex and Eric was obviously one sided, since Eric's best RB is now Thomas Jones and he traded away Vincent Jackson, Ryan Mathews, Chris Johnson, and Frank Gore. For who, Eric Decker?



I would have said something about it but that would have led to more complaining. BJ's email made it clear what the general thought is in the league.



I'll give it until Sunday for somebody to give me a good reason to keep the league going. I really don't mind all that much because my school schedule has kept me from doing anything, even the blog consistently. I wasn't even able to find a time to go golfing the past month and a half because I've been so busy.



This isn't supposed to be a feel-bad-for-me email or anything. It's just legitimate: I don't have the time or motivation to try and keep any sort of order in the league. Even something as simple as swapping out an inactive players bye-week players gets criticized.



Let me know what you think.

Sunday, October 9, 2011

What to do with Goodrich

Alright, unless Goodrich publicly makes an appeal to stay in the league here, we've got to replace him with someone.  I've got his team on life support: I'll keep editing his roster so it's as competitive as possible.  I'm not going to try to make a ton of moves or anything, so the bottom line is that we will need a replacement.

Post a comment here, email me, or post a comment on the ESPN front page on what you would like to do.  All 11 of the remaining players are active, so we can't contract the league back to 10.

Colby's Statistical Analysis

This week was terrible for me, school-wise.  I had tons of homework and projects, but the worst one was my programming class.  I had to make a completely functional program that a bank could use to keep track of members, accounts, and be able to transact on those accounts.  I started programming on Thursday at 3:30 in the afternoon and didn't finish until 4:00 - Friday morning.  Fun.  Moral of the story: I didn't have a lick of extra time this week.  FYI Lewis: that trade would have been decent, except that I just need a TE for the upcoming bye week, so I wouldn't want to give up one of my good RB's for it.  I already have Finley, and he'll be my starter unless he gets injured.

Anywho, I didn't do any recapping or predicting or anything, but luckily, Colby has done some statistical analysis this far into the season.  Here we go...

More indicative of a team’s talent than their W-L record is points scored. The amount of wins a team has isn’t nearly as important as the probability a team has of winning on a week in, week out basis. To contrast that, the best judge of that team’s luck is their points allowed, since it is a crapshoot every week on how much the opposing team is going to score. Now, not to toot my own horn, but if you look at the expanded standings, me and Disco Inferno are the highest scoring teams (I think, I don’t have the league up right now), lending us the highest probability for a win each week. Granted, there will be the off week that Mike Wallace doesn’t catch a bomb or AP gets screwed by playing for the Vikings, but for the most part, points scored shows how successful a team will be. Michelle has allowed more points than the highest scoring team in the league, which means that the average team she has been up against is scoring better than the best team. Teamworlddominators, however, has the most freaking ridiculously low points allowed out of anyone! His points allowed is also much lower than any team’s scoring in the league (if I remember right). So, in contrast to michelle, teamworlddominators has played against teams that have scored, on average, lower than the crappiest team in the league. I think its safe to say, 8 times out of 10, Michelle would work john. However, she seems to have broken a mirror, opened an umbrella indoors, or walked under a ladder, because she is having HORRIBLE luck this year. John better keep hanging on to that rabbit’s foot he’s got (or freaking Wes Welker… ).



Total points scored in league (obviously points allowed is the same)= 4455
Average points scored (and allowed) per team = 371.25

Team breakdown:
Division 1
Agmen Alarius: PS- 372 PA- 310 (about average scoring, luckier than average)
Team Goodrich: PS- 338 PA- 366 (Lower than average scoring, about average luck)
Bare RAST: PS- 354 PA- 377 (Slight lower than average scoring, about average luck)
Team Stonewall: PS- 344 PA- 344 (Lower than average scoring, luckier than average)
Million Dollar Cowboys: PS- 368 PA- 393 (about average scoring, unluckier than average)
Team Goodrum: PS- 354 PA- 384 (slight lower than average scoring, slightly unluckier than average)

Division 2
TeamWorldDominators: PS- 344 PA- 265 (lower than average scoring, ridiculously lucky)
Brett Favre's Dirty Giblets: PS- 429 PA- 415 (Higher than average scoring, unluckier than average)
The Time is NOW: PS- 402 PA- 371 (above average scoring, average luck)
Disco Inferno: PS- 422 PA- 415 (higher than average scoring, unluckier than average)
Pretty in Pink: PS- 382 PA- 432 (slight higher than average scoring, ridiculously unlucky)
Air Raid: PS- 346 PA- 382 (lower than average scoring, slightly unlucky)

Team Rank in Points scored:
1. Brett Favre's Dirty Giblets
2. Disco Inferno
3. The Time is NOW
4. Pretty in Pink
5. Agmen Alarius
6. Million Dollar Cowboys
7. Bare RAST (tie)
7. Team Goodrum (tie)
9. Air Raid
10. Team Stonewall (tie)
10. TeamWorldDominators (tie)
12. Team Goodrich

Team rank by Points Allowed (luck)
1. TeamWorldDominators
2. Agmen Alarius
3. Team Stonewall
4. Team Goodrich
5. The Time is NOW
6. Bare RAST
7. Air Raid
8. Team Goodrum
9. Million Dollar Cowboys
10. Disco Inferno (tie)
10. Brett Favre's Dirty Giblets (tie)
12. Pretty in Pink


Alright, there are the numbers.  I'll just add this at the end: The schedule is set up so that everyone plays everyone at least one time.  That means that by the end of the season, everyone will have been tested against everyone's luck, skill, etc.  Statistically speaking, this should limit the amount of luck (points against) a player has.  On the other hand, the luck factor (points against) is actually the skill factor of another player (points scored).  John has been lucky enough to go against some of the lower teams on the ladder.  All that means is that the second half of the season he should have a tougher strength of schedule.  This bodes really well for the teams that are showing with the least amount of luck.

Good luck in the bye weeks.  I'm glad I get mine mostly over with here: look at my bench.  So many good players on bye week... I even had to pick up Ben Tate, and pray that Foster get's hit by a mack truck on the way to Sunday's game.  That was my best option this week, because I didn't have a single RB on my bench to replace with.  Sad!