Thursday, October 13, 2011

It's Final


Having talked to (almost) everyone in the league, I've decided it's best to shut down the league this year.

The reasoning is this: most people are upset that Eric would be childish and liquidate his team to another player, whatever his reasoning is.  It creates an imbalance that the rest of the league shouldn't have to deal with.

The logical thing would be to reverse the trade, which would require me to manually adjust rosters.  This would piss off other league members and cause even more "power abuse" nonsense.

My only other option is to kick out the members of the league causing all the problems (and also the inactive player), but then we would have 8 players, and I'd rather not try to replace people, it just takes too much time and effort.  Not to mention what to do with all the residual players.

I'm not sure if I'll do the league again next year, but I'll keep you all updated if I do.

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Since we won't have a playoff or a remaining season, I'll go ahead and hand out my awards here.

Most Improved and Best Sport - Lewis.  He was on track to be in the winners bracket for the first time, and took the game seriously.  He took my taunts for two years and didn't do much complaining, and came back ready to win.

Best Start - This goes to John.  He's the current leader, and deserves credit for picking some good players: namely, Wes Welker and Mike Tolbert.

Probable Winner - This one is hard, because I have to try and project based on future expectations.  I've decided that Colby would probably win, based on a solid draft, good pickups, and good trading.

Best Newcomer - This goes to Brandt.  He was willing to learn the game and try his best each week, and he was involved in the league.


And there we have it.  Y'all enjoy the (real) football season, and hopefully we'll give this another try next year.

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

Future of the League

I sent this through email but some email accounts in the league don't get checked so I'll just post it here.

This is getting ridiculous.



I love fantasy football and this league has been great but there has been way too much complaining.



The trade between Alex and Eric was obviously one sided, since Eric's best RB is now Thomas Jones and he traded away Vincent Jackson, Ryan Mathews, Chris Johnson, and Frank Gore. For who, Eric Decker?



I would have said something about it but that would have led to more complaining. BJ's email made it clear what the general thought is in the league.



I'll give it until Sunday for somebody to give me a good reason to keep the league going. I really don't mind all that much because my school schedule has kept me from doing anything, even the blog consistently. I wasn't even able to find a time to go golfing the past month and a half because I've been so busy.



This isn't supposed to be a feel-bad-for-me email or anything. It's just legitimate: I don't have the time or motivation to try and keep any sort of order in the league. Even something as simple as swapping out an inactive players bye-week players gets criticized.



Let me know what you think.

Sunday, October 9, 2011

What to do with Goodrich

Alright, unless Goodrich publicly makes an appeal to stay in the league here, we've got to replace him with someone.  I've got his team on life support: I'll keep editing his roster so it's as competitive as possible.  I'm not going to try to make a ton of moves or anything, so the bottom line is that we will need a replacement.

Post a comment here, email me, or post a comment on the ESPN front page on what you would like to do.  All 11 of the remaining players are active, so we can't contract the league back to 10.

Colby's Statistical Analysis

This week was terrible for me, school-wise.  I had tons of homework and projects, but the worst one was my programming class.  I had to make a completely functional program that a bank could use to keep track of members, accounts, and be able to transact on those accounts.  I started programming on Thursday at 3:30 in the afternoon and didn't finish until 4:00 - Friday morning.  Fun.  Moral of the story: I didn't have a lick of extra time this week.  FYI Lewis: that trade would have been decent, except that I just need a TE for the upcoming bye week, so I wouldn't want to give up one of my good RB's for it.  I already have Finley, and he'll be my starter unless he gets injured.

Anywho, I didn't do any recapping or predicting or anything, but luckily, Colby has done some statistical analysis this far into the season.  Here we go...

More indicative of a team’s talent than their W-L record is points scored. The amount of wins a team has isn’t nearly as important as the probability a team has of winning on a week in, week out basis. To contrast that, the best judge of that team’s luck is their points allowed, since it is a crapshoot every week on how much the opposing team is going to score. Now, not to toot my own horn, but if you look at the expanded standings, me and Disco Inferno are the highest scoring teams (I think, I don’t have the league up right now), lending us the highest probability for a win each week. Granted, there will be the off week that Mike Wallace doesn’t catch a bomb or AP gets screwed by playing for the Vikings, but for the most part, points scored shows how successful a team will be. Michelle has allowed more points than the highest scoring team in the league, which means that the average team she has been up against is scoring better than the best team. Teamworlddominators, however, has the most freaking ridiculously low points allowed out of anyone! His points allowed is also much lower than any team’s scoring in the league (if I remember right). So, in contrast to michelle, teamworlddominators has played against teams that have scored, on average, lower than the crappiest team in the league. I think its safe to say, 8 times out of 10, Michelle would work john. However, she seems to have broken a mirror, opened an umbrella indoors, or walked under a ladder, because she is having HORRIBLE luck this year. John better keep hanging on to that rabbit’s foot he’s got (or freaking Wes Welker… ).



Total points scored in league (obviously points allowed is the same)= 4455
Average points scored (and allowed) per team = 371.25

Team breakdown:
Division 1
Agmen Alarius: PS- 372 PA- 310 (about average scoring, luckier than average)
Team Goodrich: PS- 338 PA- 366 (Lower than average scoring, about average luck)
Bare RAST: PS- 354 PA- 377 (Slight lower than average scoring, about average luck)
Team Stonewall: PS- 344 PA- 344 (Lower than average scoring, luckier than average)
Million Dollar Cowboys: PS- 368 PA- 393 (about average scoring, unluckier than average)
Team Goodrum: PS- 354 PA- 384 (slight lower than average scoring, slightly unluckier than average)

Division 2
TeamWorldDominators: PS- 344 PA- 265 (lower than average scoring, ridiculously lucky)
Brett Favre's Dirty Giblets: PS- 429 PA- 415 (Higher than average scoring, unluckier than average)
The Time is NOW: PS- 402 PA- 371 (above average scoring, average luck)
Disco Inferno: PS- 422 PA- 415 (higher than average scoring, unluckier than average)
Pretty in Pink: PS- 382 PA- 432 (slight higher than average scoring, ridiculously unlucky)
Air Raid: PS- 346 PA- 382 (lower than average scoring, slightly unlucky)

Team Rank in Points scored:
1. Brett Favre's Dirty Giblets
2. Disco Inferno
3. The Time is NOW
4. Pretty in Pink
5. Agmen Alarius
6. Million Dollar Cowboys
7. Bare RAST (tie)
7. Team Goodrum (tie)
9. Air Raid
10. Team Stonewall (tie)
10. TeamWorldDominators (tie)
12. Team Goodrich

Team rank by Points Allowed (luck)
1. TeamWorldDominators
2. Agmen Alarius
3. Team Stonewall
4. Team Goodrich
5. The Time is NOW
6. Bare RAST
7. Air Raid
8. Team Goodrum
9. Million Dollar Cowboys
10. Disco Inferno (tie)
10. Brett Favre's Dirty Giblets (tie)
12. Pretty in Pink


Alright, there are the numbers.  I'll just add this at the end: The schedule is set up so that everyone plays everyone at least one time.  That means that by the end of the season, everyone will have been tested against everyone's luck, skill, etc.  Statistically speaking, this should limit the amount of luck (points against) a player has.  On the other hand, the luck factor (points against) is actually the skill factor of another player (points scored).  John has been lucky enough to go against some of the lower teams on the ladder.  All that means is that the second half of the season he should have a tougher strength of schedule.  This bodes really well for the teams that are showing with the least amount of luck.

Good luck in the bye weeks.  I'm glad I get mine mostly over with here: look at my bench.  So many good players on bye week... I even had to pick up Ben Tate, and pray that Foster get's hit by a mack truck on the way to Sunday's game.  That was my best option this week, because I didn't have a single RB on my bench to replace with.  Sad!

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

Week 3 Recap

The Cowboys are going to give me some kind of a panic disorder, or something.  Nine straight games decided by three points or less?  How much longer can we handle that?  Needless to say, when the Cowboys won on Monday night, I had to do a little dance.  It wasn't really an option.  Anthony Spencer running down Rex Grossman looked just like a cheetah hunting a gazelle.  The Cowboys need to lock up Rob Ryan, for sure, before he heads out to a head coaching gig.  But enough of the Cowboys, let's get down to Hinckleyshouse business.

Agmen Alarius vs Team Stonewall
This game was more or less sickening.  At one point I was convinced that neither Alex or I would get out of the 40's, and either of us could have won.  I made the mistake of playing Dustin Keller over Jermichael Finley, and even though Keller almost had 90 yards receiving, Finley was a monster.  Then, Phillip Rivers drops a bomb on me.  And this is all without mentioning Beanie Freaking Wells.  Sunday morning I take a quick look at him, and the quote says "I'm just fine, I don't expect any setbacks from preventing me from playing today."  When I come back from church, I see that blasted O next to his name.  Why would you say something like that you clown?!  And since when does Eli Manning throw the ball to Victor Cruz more than Hakeem Nicks?  Granted, Nicks had Asomough on him all day, but still.

Lucky for me Alex's side didn't do any better.  The Eagles D looks terrible, Brandon Lloyd is back to being mediocre, and Thomas Jones is a decent RB, although too old, on a terrible team this year.  The to two scorers in this entire game?  Alex's kicker and my defense.  Just heartbreaking.


Pretty in Pink vs The Time is NOW
Lewis continues his hot streak!  One win could have been a fluke, but two in a row is hard to fake.  Michelle got jipped a bit by Kenny Britt going down.  That was a waiver wire pickup that could have been huge, but instead, Britt goes down for the entire season.  And, like Jamaal Charles last week, he didn't have the good sense to get his owners some fantasy points before getting hurt.  At least time your knee blowing out, buddy.  Willis McGahee, on the other hand, has proven to be a great pickup.  He might even get more carries that Knowshon, if he keeps running this well.  Drew Brees is playing like he should, too.  He's officially the number two QB in the league, which is about his average.

Lewis started out big with Gronkowski getting some big time TDs and yards.  He might be Lewis' #1 scorer throughout the season so far (I'd have to check).  When Vick went down, I thought for sure Lewis was going to lose this game.  He only got him 8 points.  Luckily, Bradshaw picked up the slack, and nobody on the team scored less than 8 points.  Kudos to Lewis for sticking with Ben Tate, even when Foster came back (and then got reinjured).  And who in the world is David Nelson?


Team Goodrum vs Brett Favre's Dirty Giblets
Eric made a strong case for his first win of the season, and almost pulled it off.  Ryan Matthews finally gained some ground on Mike Tolbert, and put up 26 points.  Unfortunately, Eric jumping up in the draft to get Antonio Gates isn't looking like a solid choice about now.  That's two straight weeks of goose eggs.  The other problem is that Frank Gore didn't run very well.  At all.  But on the positive side, the Ravens D looks fantastic.

Colby still won despite the Jets defense scoring -1 points.  This is mostly due to his big RB advantage: LeSean McCoy and Adrian Peterson combined for 34 points, while Roddy White and Jimmy Graham combined for 30.  Alex, how does that trade for Matt Forte feel now?  The downside Colby has on his team, of course, is his QB quandary.  I thought Bradford was going to have a breakout year.  Boy am I glad that I only picked up one Rams player.  Colby should have some big games this year, especially when Jackson gets healthy, but until he trades for a QB, he'll remain a question mark.

Disco Inferno vs Million Dollar Cowboys
Was Nate's 134 points showing last week a fluke?  Nope!  He comes right back in week 3 with 118.  I knew Roethlisburger would pick it up quickly, and Ray Rice is a monster.  I thought last year would be his breakout year, but I was off by a year. Mike Wallace continues to look like a top-tier receiver, and even Steve Johnson is big time.  And who would have thought to gamble on the Cowboys D?  Only Nate.

BJ had a good game, mostly due to Tom Brady being Tom Brady (FYI he threw 4 int's and still scored 20 points) and Addai figuring out how to run the ball again.  By the way, that Colts game was actually really, really good.  I thought it would be a waste of time Sunday night, so I tried to do homework while watching, and ended up getting no homework done.  And Darren Sproles: did BJ get the upper hand in the Stephen Jackson trade?  Sproles has 25, 11, and 18 points in three weeks.  I guess the Saints know how to use Sproles way better than the Chargers did.  Rough loss for BJ; looks like he needs a solid TE and a more reliable receiver.

Air Raid vs Team WorldDominators
Two years ago John rode the Chris Johnson express despite the rest of his team falling apart.  This year?  Wes Welker.  Chalk up 34 more points for Welker, who is quickly becoming the #1 fantasy WR.  Really, though, y'all need to go look at John's stat line.  Flacco netted him 25 points, Welker 34, and Vinateiri 10. Other than that, nobody scored more than 3.  Wowsers.

Lucky for John, Big Mac wasn't able to put up some solid numbers.  His three RBs combined for only 12 points, with the biggest disappointment coming from Turner.  Reggie Wayne suffered from the emergence of the Colt's running game, and only got a few throws his way.  On the bright side, Vernon Davis played some solid ball, getting over 100 yards.  If he got a touchdown or two with that total, that would have been huge.  I expect he'll continue to do great; it was only a matter of time before Harbough discovered that his best receiver was actually a TE.

Team Goodrich vs Bare RAST
It was only a matter of time before the BManSC430 party came crashing down.  Brandt has looked great with Fitzpatrick as his QB and MJD as his primary RB; unfortunately, the Packers realized why Ryan Grant was their #1 RB and not James Starks.  Starks had a terrible day, getting Brandt -2 points.  Brandts kicker had a big day, but other than that, not so much.  Still, Brandt has a 2-1 record after three games, which is exactly where the Cowboys are.

Goodrich, though, had a big game.  Mostly it was Darren McFadden showing what he's capable of.  Where has this guy been?  171 yards and two TD's against the Jets?  Wish I had known he wasted the last two seasons so he'd be healthy for this one.  Calvin Johnson was Calvin Johnson.  Did y'all see that catch that led to the game-winning FG?  It was like the ball stuck to his hands as soon as it hit them.  It didn't move at all.  Wish I had size 4XL hands.



And there you have it, the Week 3 recap!  Brandt went down in flames, but John continued his winning streak, and remains the only undefeated player.  That might be difficult to maintain with Tolbert getting fewer touches, and I doubt Welker will get 34 points again this season.  On the other end of the spectrum, the only players who have yet to win a game are Eric and Michelle.  This is an interesting turn of events because Michelle has always made it to the winners bracket.  We'll see if she can pull a Mcleary and rattle off a huge win streak in the middle of the season.

Remember, this is about the time that the right waiver wire pickup can get you into the winners bracket.  There's already been a ton of activity, but that means players are being dropped left and right, and one man's trash is another man's treasure!  I grabbed Torrey Smith, and I fully expect him to crash and burn, but if he consistently scores like he did last week, he's a gold mine.

FYI, I have to divulge a secret.  When Tim Hightower scored on that little one yard pass into the end zone, I celebrated, because it got me the win over Alex.  If the Cowboys had lost, though, I would have been ticked.  Let's be glad for both results.

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Week 2 Recap

If the Cowboys had not won in overtime on Sunday, I'm not sure what kind of mood I would be in.  BYU got blown out, and while I'm not a big BYU homer, I dislike U of U.  Then it became apparent I was going to lose to Lewis.  For the first time in three years.  But the fantasy football gods wanted to torture me first.


Agmen Alarius vs The Time is NOW
Why do I say torture?  Because I got strung out until the bitter end.  I still had Hakeem Nicks playing on Monday, but I thought for sure I was out, because Lewis had Vick, Bradshaw and Manningham.  When Vick went out with only 11 points, that gave me a shot.  If Hakeem Nicks had a good game and Bradshaw/Manningham didn't play well I could have won.  And then Hakeem Nicks got a TD in the opening minutes of the game and I thought it could happen.  But then he didn't do anything the rest of the game and Bradshaw had a decent running game.

We'll see how the rest of the season turns out.  If past history is a proven indicator, I'll come back on top.  Not necessarily on top of the entire league, but on top of Lewis.  This means that he will have to make it into the winners bracket, because we don't play again this season.  It wouldn't be fitting or proper just for me to just be in the winners bracket and him in the losers bracket (you know, the usual); no, the fantasy gods should arrange another meeting for us in the playoffs.  I'll be waiting.


Team Stonewall vs Team Goodrich
What's worse than losing your fantasy game by one point?  I'll tell you.  Losing what could have been the #1 RB in the league this year.  If he stayed healthy.  But alas, that was not to be.  Jamaal Charles went down with a season-ending knee injury, and he didn't even give Alex some good parting points in his final game.  Peyton Hillis redeemed himself along with Tony Romo.  Eric Decker was a good pickup.  I almost picked him up, but I thought I wouldn't have put him in the game anyway, so I left him on the waivers.  Turns out he would have won me my game if I put him in.  But he couldn't do enough for Alex, who again, lost by one point.

Speaking of injury prone, Darren McFadden is proving to be a beast.  Tack on 24 more points for him.  Oh, and the Steelers defense, as it turns out, isn't terrible.  Well actually they still could be.  They shut out a football team.  Turns out that football team was the Seahawks.  But at least for this week, in retribution for Alex's 2 point win last week, they played good enough for Goodrich to skirt by.


Pretty in Pink vs Bare RAST
Michelle had a killer game this week.  The only problem was that Brandt had a better one.  You know what's sickening about Brandt scoring 128 points?  His TE didn't score any, and Deangello Williams only scored three.  Lucky for Brandt Miles Austin had his best game in two years and Jeremy Maclin had a career game.  Did I mention the Lions D netted Brandt 23 points?

Michelle, on the other hand, had every player score in double digits except for one.  She made a great decision to put Willis Mcgahee in; she noticed that Knowshon Moreno was going to be out and picked up his backup.  Drew Brees is proving that he's still a scoring machine, and even Santana Moss jumped into the party.  Most weeks, 111 points will give you the win.  Sorry, tiger.


Million Dollar Cowboys vs Air Raid
BJ, realizing that he doesn't have any good, healthy RBs, made a knee-jerk reaction this week.  He gave up Stephen Jackson, Roy Williams, and Eli Manning for Darren Sproles.  Now this isn't all bad.  Sproles could be in for some big  games if he keeps running like he has.  Roy Williams will be dumped onto the waivers will he will stay for the rest of the season.  But if Stephen Jackson plays like he has the past 6 years, this is a terrible move for BJ.  Terrible.

But he has made some smart moves.  Freaking Tom Brady is a machine.  And I should have had him.  I was already picking him up about 10 spots ahead of his projection, and BJ goes and picks him up 5 spots before me.  And now he goes and puts up another 27 points.  That's more points than his RBs and WRs combined for this week.  Of course, that didn't matter much in this game, because 27 points from Brady was more than almost all of Big Mac's team combined.  Rodgers and Turner had their usual, followed by terrible, terrible play by Reggie Wayne, Mike Williams, Vernon Davis, the Falcons D, and Jay Feely.  You gotta feel for Reggie Wayne, though.  I think he realizes that he isn't going to win a single game this year.


Brett Favre's Dirty Giblets
This game was awesome to watch unfold.  I was keeping an eye on it all Sunday.  AP and LeSean McCoy are playing amazing, and combined for 50 points this week.  On the other hand, I retract my previous statement thinking that Anquan Boldin had anything to offer.  He's terrible.  Julio Jones will be a big player, I would think.  I watched the entire Falcons game, and they throw his way a ton.  If he breaks for one of those plays, Colby is a heck of a lot closer to winning this game.

This was definitely Nate's breakout fantasy game.  134 points is amazing.  Nate's been making all the right moves lately; taking the risk on Jahvid Best and Steve Johnson is pretty good.  Mike Wallace and Larry Fitzgerald make a great WR group.  I'm pretty sure I gave Nate a 9/10 on draft day, but I'd have to double check, and I'm too lazy for that.  Anyway, Nate had a killer game, and kudos to him.


Team Goodrum vs Team WorldDominators
Looks like Eric is trying to make a tradition here.  That tradition, of course, would be getting in last place. 0-2 doesn't look very good after a three win season last year.  To his credit, though, who thought Chris Johnson, Antonio Gates, and the Ravens D would combine for 9 points.  Jordy Nelson was his top scorer, and that's just sad.

John, on the other hand, is looking to rebound from his embarrassing I-didnt-swap-rosters moment last week.  Steve Smith (CAR) had a big game, and I'm pretty close to putting in Cam Newton over Phillip Rivers.  Adam Vinatieri had a monster week, and who would have thought that would happen.  I didn't know the Colts were going to be able to get within field goal distance this year.  Yes, they are that bad.  Just like Eric.


And there is the week 2 recap!  This week was full of surprises (and injuries).  The top two players in the league (Brandt and John) happen to also be the two youngest.  Michelle and Eric are the bottom two in the league.  Michelle has the team to bounce back; I'm not so sure Eric does.  FYI, Eric: Ask Lewis had to escape my ridicule on the blog.  He's figured it out.

Thursday, September 15, 2011

Brandt's Idea

I think this would be absolutely amazingly awesome, but it would require participation by everyone for this to work.  Go to this link.

http://www.jostens.com/apps/shop/ProductDetail.asp?CID=271703&PFID=2006072012440986752&PID=2006072012441136752&Q=0&isPPI=0&isRing=0&isHSRing=0

It's about $130, so $10 from each player would make it work.  It would be awesome to have that be the trophy each year, and it would be customized with whatever the winner wants.  Let me know what y'all think about it.